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Mindset

The Money-Time-Risk-Return Investment Continuum – What is Your Sweet Spot?

March 7, 2016

Money-Time-Risk-Return

Have you ever heard of the space time continuum? It’s a very hard to imagine way of viewing the universe used by physicists like Einstein. The idea is that in addition to the 3 dimensions of space that we are all familiar with, there is a 4th dimension of time.

Most physicists believe time can only be traveled forwards though. You can’t go back in time like you can move forward in space, then head back to where you were.

Believe it or not, this thinking just might be relevant to investing.

Money-Time-Risk-Return Investment Continuum

Let’s create our own continuum for investments that includes money, time, risk, and return.

Mo Money Mo Problems

Having more money is a good thing (I like money). But it can become a burden at some point – good thing most of us will never have to worry deal with it!

If you are investing $1, what kind of options do you have to invest and what are the returns? Pretty much just putting it in the bank with a lousy interest rate. If you are investing $1k you have different options with greater returns. $100k even more options with greater returns. $1M even better. Then at some point, say at $1B, it gets worse there are few places you can put all that money to work. Of course, you could get a financial advisor to help you make better investments. But, sometimes, even these brokers and financial professionals can make errors in investment recommendations, which can cause you huge financial losses. Fortunately, you can approach a securities lawyer from the likes of The Law Offices of Robert Wayne Pearce to seek the deserved compensation in the event that you face any financial losses made by the financial professionals.

Time is Money

You could put $1B to work just like the investor with $1M, just do it a thousand times. That takes a lot of time and effort.

The average investor can usually put in more time to find a better return. This might mean researching and finding a way to invest in small private companies or doing your own real estate deals. However, there also automated trading apps in markets like cryptocurrency, such as these Bitcoin Up Erfahrungen, for example. This will save you time as you don’t have to do the investing yourself. On a similar note, more and more people tend to see cryptocurrencies as a good investment. These days, people choose to buy cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and even Dogecoin, with the hope that their value can rise in the future, leading to them being able to cash them out later (visit https://www.coin.cloud/blog/how-to-cash-out-dogecoin for information on how to sell cryptocurrencies.)

High Risk, High Reward

Riskier investments should have a greater expected return, otherwise why would anyone take on that risk?

Lending money to a stable company like Walmart might return 3% and a “who knows if it will survive” company like Yelp might return 11% (with a small chance you get zero, so expected return of something a little lower). This is generally true across all assets: stocks, bonds, real estate, peer to peer lending, etc.

Let’s Graph It!

graph

For a given investment, what is the money, time, risk, and expected return? If you were to graph all possible investments in 4 dimensions, you would be able to visualize the best return for money, time, and risk.

Too bad that’s hard and this is just a thought exercise. If you are thinking in terms of all these dimensions, what is the best investment for you?

Finding Your Advantage

I bet you don’t have a hundred million dollars to invest, where you can push people around and name your terms.

I bet you aren’t an expert at understanding risk, able to notice the flaws in the models of Wall Street.

But you do have time. If we had the 4-dimensional graph, I would imagine there is a sizable bump in expected return by devoting 1 hour a week to your investments.

If you could take your investments from a 8% expected return to 20%, would that be worth an hour a week to you? This is why I chose rental property investing.

Revisiting Space-Time and “Time is Money”

Remember when I said at the beginning that within the space-time continuum, time only travels forwards? You can’t go back in time.

People generally accept the statement that time is money. Time can be easily turned into money, but the opposite isn’t really true. It is much harder to turn money into time. Just look at the richest people in the world – they are running around more stressed out than the rest of us, not sitting on a beach!

With rental property investing there are always more responsibilities you can take on for a greater return. Landlord work, handyman work, increased effort sourcing deals, more aggressive negotiations to only purchase at extreme discounts.

For extra effort might push your return from 20% to 25% with another 1 hour a week per property. Unfortunately it doesn’t scale that well at 5+ properties. Since it is hard to turn money into time, I jump at the chance to pay for someone else to handle those responsibilities.

That’s why I chose turnkey rental properties. I get the benefits of much higher returns through rental property investing, but still fairly low effort.

Managing Risk

Some people have bad experiences with turnkey rental property investing and will be happy to share their nightmare story with you. It is an industry with hundreds of small operations fixing up and selling houses to investors – and many suck.

I could navigate this on my own, but there is certainly a little risk involved. Instead I think it is smart to go through a reputable national marketer like Norada or Jason Hartman. They both have a decade long reputation to maintain and much more experience vetting turnkey providers than me.

The purchase price might be ever so slightly higher than I could find on my own, but I view this as a trade-off between the money and risk dimensions.

Is Rental Property Investing the Perfect Money-Time-Risk-Return for You?

Everyone is different and will come to their own conclusions. For example, maybe spending an hour a week to go from 8% return to 20% return isn’t worth it in your mind. Or maybe you aren’t comfortable with the risk of being directly in charge of your own investments.

For me, rental property investing represents the sweet spot of the theoretical money-time-risk-return continuum. What do you think?

Photo: Etahos
Graph: Jon Waterschoot

Filed Under: Mindset, The Approach

The Hose into the Pool Analogy – A New Way to Think About Cash Flow

February 29, 2016

Financial freedom means something different to everyone.

Some people want to quit their job and have the freedom to sit around in their underwear playing video games all day.

Others want to keep their job, but have the flexibility to fly to Vegas for the weekend and drop a g in da club.

Some want to be able to somehow pay for their kid’s college so they won’t be saddled with debt like so many in this country.

Whatever financial freedom means to you, the way to get there is cash flow. A lot of people neglect to find more info on cash flow and what it means to be financially independent but without it, financial freedom is hard to achieve.

What is Cash Flow?

It is the money that comes in to your bank account. And out for that matter.

This is very different than your bank account balance or net worth. The cash flow is the rate of change, the velocity. It determines whether you are getting richer or poorer each month.

Let’s Visualize It

Imagine a huge above-ground empty swimming pool made to enjoy your backyard living. This empty pool signifies your net worth when you start out. You pull out your small garden hose and start filling up the pool. This garden hose is your income from your job.

If you are wise, you might do a calculation and figure out how many decades will it take to fill up the pool all the way. Your pool is your asset to your house. You may have remodeled it with stylish white pool fencing supplies and other required features. But, how about maintaining it constantly? It is, therefore, better to figure this out now than ignorantly daydream about using the pool this summer. At least now you can do something about it.

There are also some minor leaks in the pool. Those are your expenses. If they get out of hand, you will never be able to fill up the pool. But even with constant attention, you can never stop the pool from leaking a little bit.

How do you spend your time?

Are you someone that keeps trying to plug leaks with little success? This is the person trying to spend less at Starbucks.

Do you constantly shop for a bigger hose? This is analogous to someone looking for a better paying job.

How about connecting more hoses? This is finding additional income streams beyond your day job.

Want to Fill Up the Millionaire Pool?

It’s widely quoted that the average millionaire has 7 sources of income. This means they have 7 hoses flowing into their pool. Some might be small, but when you add them all up, the total amount of water flowing into the pool is impressive.

Most people head to Home Depot and compete over the one firehose for sale. The firehose is the high paying CEO job – everyone wants it and it is incredibly hard to get. You might have to wait in line at Home Depot for years and miss a good chunk of your life just for the shot at that impressive hose.

But the average millionaire does something different. He connects as many hoses as possible and has them all fill up the pool at once.

It might not quite equal the power of the firehose, but you are able to get started much earlier. You’ll have such a head start that you’ll be able to start enjoying your pool while the suckers are still in line at Home Depot.

I Thought This Was a Blog About Rental Property Investing…

Whoa, I really went off on a tangent there. But we’ve come this far, so let’s keep going with the hose analogy!

Investing in a rental property is the easiest way you can get an additional hose. It produces real cash flow every month that contributes to filling up your pool. Even better, this is the type of hose that works automatically.

Some hoses require constant attention for them to keep flow: you have to hand pump the water through the hose. Your job – think that money is going to keep flowing into your bank account if you stop showing up to work?

Rental properties are passive cash flow. You just have to walk over to the side of the house to make sure the hose is still connected and flowing as it should. Barely takes a couple minutes a day.

What Do You Want – A Big Pool or a Bunch of Easy Hoses?

Money is meant to be spent. You aren’t just filling up this pool for no reason you want to enjoy it.

So you move the portable pool to the sun and jump in. All those Chicken Fights and games of Sharks and Minnows splash some water out of the pool. The warmth of the sun is also evaporating the water. That’s ok, you aren’t trying to die with a full pool!

The classic view of retirement is to fill up the pool as much as possible, then stop hand pumping the job hose. Since you didn’t set up any passive hoses, you don’t have any more money coming in. But you calculated you will be ok as long as you only lose 4% of the water per year.

The cash flow view is to set up some easy to maintain hoses. Most days you can sit around enjoying the pool with the peace of mind that any water you are losing is offset by the hoses still flowing. Every once in a while you just have to make sure the hoses are still connected to the house.

Now, let’s define these hoses. There can be various methods of maintaining your cash flow during regular days and after retirement as well. One, you can create an additional income line by diversifying your investment portfolio with high and low investment risk plans like cryptocurrency, estate planning, fixed deposits, bonds, etc. These may or may not require your attention regularly, but they can become one of the biggest hoses besides job salary.

Other than that, you can look into options like blogging, vlogging, starting a small side business, babysitting, pet sitting, etc. You could also play games for real money if you are into online gaming and want to convert it into a passive income source. Such opportunities can become your smaller hoses, which you can tap into when the leaks (expenses) increases, or else they can always stay available as an alternative.

The important thing is understanding which hoses can work better for you in a long run and adopting them instead of trying everything and not getting any profits out of it.

Flip Your Mindset

With the right mindset, you can set yourself up for financial freedom. It’s not about running around constantly plugging the leaks that are your expenses. It’s not about getting the biggest pool of net worth.

Get started now by adding a hose of passive income. Done right, a rental property is the easiest and surest way to do it.

Photo: jensmith826

Filed Under: Mindset

Are You a Fit for Rental Property Investing? (And Who Should Leave This Website Right Now)

February 3, 2016

Time. What a concept. What a shame it’s so often underappreciated – everyone is so busy trading their time for money. Or put another way, trading a limited non-renewal resource for one that is limitless and always renewable.

I’m not going to waste your time and promise you something that is impossible for your situation. Rental property investing isn’t for everyone. There is no one-size-fits-all approach – if you show me someone that claims there is, I’ll show you someone you shouldn’t trust. There are different types of investments out there for everyone to try, it takes time to find the one that suits you, so if you need to find the best stock brokerage online to discuss trading investments or speak to rental property investment professionals, it is always important to do your research first.

So, is the approach of investing in rental properties from across the country right for you? Does the following describe you?

You Have or Will Soon Have Money to Invest

This is about making your money work for you. It’s not about conjuring money out of thin air. So you either need to have a chunk of money already or have a great job that allows you to save a significant portion every month.

Test: Are you able to save $1000 a month or do you have $20,000 you can invest? If not, figure out how to make some money first – Ramit or Pat can help. Or save more – J. Money or Erin can help.

You Are Pretty Young and Stable

This is a long-term plan with plenty of benefits in the short-term as well. Real estate investments aren’t nearly as liquid as stocks – there are significant transaction costs and when you hold for many years, there are scheduled times when you get money back. It’s not a sell on demand type thing.

You need to have a long-term view and the stability to see the plan through. You’re willing to put the work in and get to grips with things like ESG analysis, as well as other important things that will help you build your investment portfolio. You don’t need to know exactly what your life looks like the next 15 years, but you will need to avoid the “oh my god I need money right now” situations. Those who do find themselves in such a situation – perhaps where a sticky financial emergency has reared its head – may want to consider looking into online loans as a way of getting their lives back on track instead of selling your real estate investments.

Test: Are you able to approach this as a 10-15 year investment portfolio where all the profits get reinvested?

You Won’t Hit the Panic Button

Expected results don’t always match actual results, especially in the short term. This happens in the stock market as well and absolutely crushes dumb investors. The smart ones, who had already diversified their assets would, however, be saved. So, even if you think you have a knack for investing in real estate and it is worth taking every risk, a backup plan would do no harm. You can choose to invest in stocks, crypto, or any precious metals like gold or silver. Interestingly, gold has served as a hedge against inflation through the years, so it might be the best fit for you. In choosing to do so, contacting firms similar to Augusta Precious Metals might help give you better insights.

Looking for a backup plan would become more essential introspecting things like: if things go poorly at the beginning, can you weather the storm? Or will you freak out, sell immediately at a loss, and never invest in real estate again?

Test 1: You buy a $100k property that rents for $1k per month. Then we enter another recession and people stop buying homes. It still rents for $1k per month, but the price drops to $85k. Are you ok waiting out the recession for a few years? Or do you sell in a panic because you hear prices might drop all the way to $70k?

Test 2: Here is a completely made up scenario to see how you would deal with an actual loss. A sadist is running your company’s HR department. Rather than offering a 401k match, he devised a game where the you can gamble $3k of your 401k contribution at an expected profit, but with the chance you lose it all. If you choose to play, he will roll a die to determine your fate:

  • 1 – you lose and the company takes your full $3k
  • 2, 3, 4, 5 – you win and the company adds an additional $1k to your contribution
  • 6 – you win and the company adds an additional $3k to your contribution

Your expected winnings are $667, a quick 22% return… but you could lose it all. Let’s say you decided to play last year and rolled a 1 – your hard earned savings went down the tube and the jerk HR director loved it. Are you ok playing again this year?

You Are Able to Get Shit Done

It’s amazing how many people can’t set a goal and work towards it. If you can’t, don’t start here. The good news is if you have a job that allows you to save $1000 a month, you are probably a pretty capable person.

Test 1: Would a friend label you a procrastinator?

Test 2: Able to keep several projects going in tandem? Do you have the mind of a manager, able to switch between them?

You Have a Strong “Why”

This isn’t the path of least resistance, so you need a reason to stick through the tough times. I’m going to show you it’s not as difficult as you may think, but there will be stumbles along the way. You need to know exactly why you will put in the effort to overcome those obstacles.

Here are some examples:

  • You want to be able to retire in 15 years, not 30
  • You just got married and now feel the financial responsibility to provide for your future family
  • You recently had kids and want to pay for their college education some day
  • You want to be able to take time off work to travel

Whatever your reason, it has to be motivating for you.

Test: Can you answer these questions: Why bother doing all this? What is your motivating future result?

You are able to ignore the haters

Sheeple need not apply. If you want the same results as everyone else, take the same action as them. If you want different results, you are going to have to have strong convictions in order to shield you from the haters.

This isn’t rocket science, but it is against the norm. You need to be able to come to your own conclusions and not be held back by people around you that don’t get it.

Test: Do you believe something that most people think is crazy?

Get Started Now with a Baby Step

Are you nodding along? Are you potentially a fit for this? If so, don’t be that guy that waits for the perfect time, then looks back 5 or 10 years from now and says “damn, I wish I started earlier.” There is a famous saying “don’t wait to buy real estate, buy real estate and wait.”

If you want the results, you will have to take action, get educated, and build trust with people who can help you reach your goals. There are a lot of steps to get there, but it all starts somewhere and it might as well start now.

Your baby step today: become an email subscriber. You will get 1-2 emails a week to help you on your journey. This is just the start of building a trusting relationship with someone you’ve never met in person, which is going to be important throughout this process.

Click Here to Subscribe

Filed Under: Mindset

Welcome to Rental Mindset

January 30, 2016

I’m excited to kick off this journey together.

If you want different results, you have to take different actions. Information you don’t act on is worthless so comment with your questions or thoughts.

Filed Under: Mindset

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