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Mindset

The Thing Most Investors Don’t Understand about Leverage

April 5, 2016

most investors don't understand leverage

It can be frustrating when people just don’t get it.

Like when someone says they don’t like chocolate. Somehow logic just isn’t going to convince them how awesome it really is.

It’s sad because they will never understand and there is nothing you can do to share that joy with them.

A similar thing happens with leverage in rental property investing.

The Common Man’s Access to Leverage

Banks have all kinds of crazy access to loans. When they invest in something they only have to put up 6% of the price in actual money and borrow the rest.

Try walking into your local Scottrade office and doing that. “I’d like to buy 100 shares of Google. I know the price is $736, but I’ll give you $44 and finance the rest at 1% interest.”

Ya right.

Is it a rigged game? In some ways. But you know where the common man has access to leverage? Real estate investing.

20% down, 100% of the upside

The standard mortgage on a rental property right now is 20% down at a 4.5% interest rate. In fact, if you happen to ask around the jumbo mortgage wholesale lenders circle, they might agree to these statistics.

You get to own an asset by paying only one fifth of the price. Where else are you going to be able to do that?

Even better, it’s not like they require the rest of the money within a year or two. You pay the same amount every month for 30 years!

Since you own the rental, you get all of the upside. The bank doesn’t benefit if the house appreciates, you do.

Appreciation with Leverage

By now you know there are 5 different components that make up the overall return on a rental property.

Most people make the mistake of only focusing on one component and forget about the others. Right now we are just going to consider appreciation, but keep in mind this is just one aspect. Don’t forget the others.

The rentals I purchase are in somewhat boring midwest and southern United States cities. Most years they will appreciate at the rate of inflation – this isn’t a speculative beachfront Miami condo I’m hoping to run up 15% per year (as long as there is a greater fool to purchase it from me).

If the property appreciates 3% and inflation is 3%, did I actually make any money? This is where the leverage comes in.

Let’s Run Some Numbers

Over 15 years, what happens?

If you paid all cash, you won’t make anything on the appreciation in real dollar terms. The house goes up 3% per year, but is exactly canceled out by inflation. Your dollars are worth less. After 15 years at 3% inflation, $1 in year 0 has the same purchasing power as $1.56 in year 15.

If you use leverage? Let’s look at a hypothetical house where you put down 20% for a $100k property.

To keep it simple, we will just look at appreciation and assume you don’t pay down the mortgage at all over those 15 years. So in year 15 your mortgage balance is still $80k. This number will never go up, so this is the worst case scenario.

appreciation with leverage

See What’s Going on Here?

The investment just keeps up with inflation, but since you used leverage, you made $44,637!

Had you paid cash, the appreciation is exactly zero.

This is powerful stuff people. You took 1 of the 5 components of rental property return from $0 to $44,637, just by taking advantage of leverage.

With Great Power Comes Great Responsibility

That’s a Spider-Man quote, but it is true – leverage can provide huge returns even when the house appreciates at the same rate of inflation.

Don’t take this to mean you should buy a Miami condo which “projects” for even more appreciation. Instead look for the most boring, predictable, steady growth markets – you’ll still get a great return without needing to resort to gambling.

How Much is Too Much?

Leverage is a powerful tool that most people are brainwashed into thinking is bad. You now know better – this isn’t credit card debt, it’s strategic leverage.

The lending limits right now are 1:5 ratio for your first 4 investment properties (20% down). For properties 5-10 it is a 1:4 ratio (25% down). Remember banks are gambling at a 1:16 ratio backed by the FDIC and our tax dollars!

But is there a point where even with boring and predictable rentals, you can have too much leverage? Sure.

If you have 10 conservative cash-flowing properties at a 1:3 ratio, I would argue that is not over-leveraged, even if you have a one million dollar loan balance.

The leverage ratio and loan balance is less important to me. What matters more is how predictable the markets are (not gambling on appreciation, which comes with huge crashes) and if there is enough cash flow to provide a comfortable cushion if things don’t go as well as planned.

What are you comfortable with?

Filed Under: Mindset, Numbers, The Approach

Is Your Timeline Your Advantage in Investing?

April 2, 2016

You know those cheap little hourglasses that come with board games? I think they are fascinating.

They are a physical representation of time. Zero technology. Impressive accuracy. Thousands of years old.

Have you ever seen one with liquid instead of sand? Even cooler.

That’s what we will be taking a closer look at today. Not hourglasses – liquid and time.

Liquid Dreams

A liquid asset or investment is one that can easily be converted to money. Illiquid is the opposite – it is more difficult to convert into money.

The stock market is a great example of a liquid investment, such as investment opportunities you’d be able to find on a site such as stocktrades.ca and others. You can instantly sell to an anonymous buyer at the set price for that split second. It is instantaneous and has a pretty low transaction cost. Millions of people do stock trading which just proves how amazing it can be. In fact, a few of my friends are using the software at TradeZero and they’ve managed to make a decent profit so far. It’s worth giving it a go in my opinion.

Investing in rare art is illiquid. It has significant value, but is much harder to price. You better not be in a hurry to unload it because you likely won’t receive top dollar. The price is dependent upon what someone is willing to pay – be prepared to pay a broker a huge fee to find the buyer. In today’s day and age, Bitcoin has made vast leaps forward in the trading market, this may be a better option for some who want to invest in this area and have it there ready for a later period. Websites such as broker.cex.io can provide a better background for people who may want to go for this option.

Obviously liquid is preferable – you want to be able to access the money in your investments. It gives you options.

But you might have to give up something for that liquidity…

What’s the Cost of Liquidity?

If everyone wants something, the price goes up. Economics 101.

Everyone would choose a liquid investment compared to an equal return for an illiquid investment. So they are not priced the same.

A simple example is a savings account vs CD (certificate of deposit). A savings account is perfectly liquid – you can remove your money at any time. A CD is similar, but you put your money in for a set period of time determined up front – a 1 year CD is common. You can get these types of accounts from many banks (such as Certificates of Deposits – Bank CD Rates – Atlantic Union Bank), with all the information you’ll need to save as much as you can.

Which one do you think provides the better return on investment? The liquid savings account or illiquid CD? The savings account might give a 0.5% yearly return and the CD 1.5%.

If you choose the CD over the savings account, you get an extra 1% yearly return. Or 3 times the return of the bank account.

Same money going in, but you traded your option of accessing the money at any time for a better return.

The Traditional View

Let’s take a look at the stock market since that is where almost everyone invests their money.

Average Joe wants to retire one day so he invests in the stock market. Index funds, mutual funds, individual stocks, you name it. He slowly builds up his positions over the years, purchasing more and more stock.

The investment is extremely liquid, even though Joe knows he won’t be touching that money for a long long time. He has the luxury to sell at any given millisecond, Monday through Friday.

The stock represents a piece of a company that is attempting to make money and impress investors to further drive up their stock price. The company has a shorter term view than Joe – they have to hit their quarterly numbers. They might choose to sacrifice their long term profit to drive up the numbers in the short term.

Is there something wrong with this picture for Joe? Could he use his timeline to his advantage?

The Luxury to Think in Decades

Joe knows he doesn’t need to touch the money for decades. Ok, there might be a small portion he needs to access, but not unless something really goes wrong.

Just like the CD vs savings account example, he can choose a less liquid investment that will have greater returns than the stock market.

There are many possibilities, but investment rental property is my favorite. It walks the fine line of liquidity – expensive transaction costs and paperwork make day trading impossible. Yet it has a fairly well defined price with many willing buyers (it isn’t a Picasso sketch).

And the returns over the course of a couple decades are roughly three times the stock market.

It Still Spits Out Cash Over Time

Even though the asset itself isn’t very liquid, you will still have the ability to access some of the money.

Every month the tenant pays rent – after factoring in all expenses you will get to pocket some cash every month. As the equity builds, you have additional options like refinancing to access the equity without selling the asset.

As you patiently wait over decades, you are pocketing cash the whole time. It comes at set intervals though, you can’t sell at an exact millisecond.

You are giving up flexibility for greater returns.

What do you think, can you use your timeline to your advantage?

Photo: Nick Olejniczak

Filed Under: Mindset, The Approach

Is Effort Your Advantage in Investing?

March 22, 2016

If I had a way of buying a couple hundred thousand single-family homes and had a way of managing … I would load up on them and I would take mortgages out at very, very low rates.
-Warren Buffett

It sucks to be a billionaire. Do you know how hard it is for Warren Buffett to find a nice return on investment at this point?

His company is worth $350 billion dollars, and if his goal is a 10% return per year, he is trying to make $35 billion a year. Where the heck is he going to be able to do that?

Even purchasing entire billion dollar companies isn’t going to make much impact. A billion dollar company might have $100 million in earnings a year. So he would have to acquire 350 companies that size to get $35 billion in earnings.

Smaller deals for companies in the $100 million range are inconsequential for the overall return of his portfolio. Even if they return 25% or 50% a year, they aren’t worth the time.

So even though Buffett sees a good deal in single family homes, he would have to purchase a couple hundred thousand for it to be worth his effort, and handle the paperwork for each accordingly, from the investment memorandum real estate documents to the insurance and deeds.

You Have an Advantage Over Warren Buffett

Did you ever think you’d actually be in a better position than the legendary investor Warren Buffett?

If you are investing $20 thousand, $100 thousand, or even a million dollars, you have way more options. You don’t have to compete with the huge Berkshire Hathaways, hedge funds, pension funds, or university endowment funds. You can do the smaller deals that take too much effort for the big guys to consider.

Your effort is your advantage. It is a worthwhile use of your time to seek out a $20 thousand dollar investment that has a projected return of 25% per year.

But most people don’t look for opportunities to use this advantage.

Real Estate is Unique

Efficient markets require commodities. Meaning one unit is equal to all of the others.

A share of stock is exactly the same as any other. You can buy one not caring whether you get share number one or one million. If each one were different, how would you be able to quickly know the price?

A barrel of oil is a commodity as well. There is an agreed upon standard, and as long as a barrel meets it, each barrel is considered equal and therefore there can be markets for these, and how for instance, oil investments are possible.

Real estate is a lot messier. There are hundreds of unique markets spread across the United States. Different neighborhoods and sub-divisions within those markets. Different housing types like 3 bed, 2 bath or 4 bed, 2 bath. They were built at different times and rehabbed at different times.

When you want to sell a house, you first need it to be appraised by an expert to get the attention of more buyers. For instance, while selling your house, you might have to first consider booking building inspection. The inspection report can portray your house in a favourable light, thereby attracting more buyers. Anyway, after this, it is compared to the most similar nearby homes that were recently sold. Only then do you know what is actually worth?

What a pain! It is an inefficient market with imperfect information, significant transaction costs, and slow transaction speed.

Luckily that pain creates an opportunity for the little guy. If you can navigate the hassle, you will be rewarded.

Note: One of the primary causes of the 2008 financial crash was because banks tried to treat mortgages as commodities. They claiming thousands and even millions of mortgages were all equal based on some shady rating agencies (see the movie The Big Short for an entertaining overview).

Your Effort is Required

There are many ways to do real estate. Which one leverages your advantage?

There are dozens of crowdfunding sites that let you participate in deals for as low as $1000. There are Real Estate Investment Trusts that are similar, just easier. Those looking to make a success of real estate investment may want to look at all the available investing services out there for help with this – check out the 1031 tax deferred exchange to see how you can benefit from simpler exchanges and smart investments.

I have a feeling someone else is doing the work on those and reaping most the rewards that come with it. You need to be the person in charge of the deal, putting in your own effort, and ending up with the property in your name (or an LLC or other entity you own).

This takes effort. Most people aren’t willing or able. It’s too messy for the big fish. That leaves a perfect opportunity for you.

Put in the effort and get the rewards.

What’s holding your back? What are your other unique advantages?

Filed Under: Mindset

Embrace the Mindset of a Beginner

March 15, 2016

Adults pretty much go about life knowing exactly what we are doing. No new languages, organic chemistry, or learning how to drive.

We can comfortably sit back and enjoy life in our own little bubble. Perfectly content. Or we can push our comfort zone, expand our skills, and strive for a different life than everyone else.

Ever see a kid learning how to ride a bike? What drives him to risk scraped knees and failure?

Investing in different areas of things such as stocks and property could help you to earn huge profits and set you up for the future. Many people have started to invest in German stocks such as “In Bitcoin investieren” which is an investment in Bitcoin, whilst others find it easier to invest in property. Whatever the investment with guidance and research it should offer you a large return.

The Benefits are Worth It

A bike represents freedom to a kid. You can go all over the whole neighborhood and hang out with the big kids.

Rental property investing represents freedom as well. Wherever you are investing in a rental, there is so much room to move around as much as you like without settling on a specific building for the rest of your life. You can look for your dream location before finding your “dream” home, you just have to know where you would like to look. There are homes for rent in Memphis, Pheonix, New Jersey and so many more, so hopefully, after you’ve read this page you can jump right in.

You are clearly interested in putting your money to work. Passive income so you can sit back and work because you want to, not because you have to. You are obviously motivated otherwise you wouldn’t be here.

We’ve looked at the projected Impressive Returns. We’ve looked at my Actual Results after 4.5 years.

So what comes next?

Start Simple, Manage Expectations

As adults, we are kind of babies.

We have leveled up our lives in so many areas, it is embarrassing to be a beginner in another area. “I’m the CEO of a multi-million dollar company, I can’t look like a fool in front of everyone at a beginning yoga class.” That’s a good way to stop improving.

Or maybe we have unrealistic expectations. “I’m a quick learner, in 1 month I’ll be as good as the yoga instructor.” Only to quit when the progress isn’t that fast.

Constantly remind yourself it is a worthwhile long-term goal. Don’t be afraid to be a beginner and don’t quit because progress is slow.

The Beginner’s Mindset in Rental Property Investing

Applying this thinking to rental property investing, the obvious place to start is by learning.

Learn enough but not too much

You have to learn the basics of how it all works. This involves boosting your understanding of market selection, property selection, funding, insurance, taxes, and of course, property management.

Accordingly, if you would like to learn more about the potential advantages of working with a company that specializes in property management jacksonville fl is home to some fantastic real estate management experts that will be more than happy to provide the support that you need.

Above all, you don’t need a master’s degree in any one of those areas. Just learn enough to be able to ask the right questions. Plus, you can always outsource your property management responsibilities to a property management company, so do not let these responsibilities dampen your property investment dreams.

Take a simple action

The reason why you don’t want to learn too much is it will hold you up from actually taking action. The action is required for the benefits.

Back to the yoga example, you don’t need to read the latest studies on biomechanics to get the results. You just need to take action on the basics.

Keep it simple so the action isn’t too daunting.

Protect downside while learning

The kid learning to ride a bike has training wheels when he first starts out. He isn’t reading a book about how to ride a bike, he is taking action similar to his goal, but with downside protection.

Then maybe later his dad runs along side the bike, able to help if anything goes wrong. It’s another step in the right direction with downside protection.

Rental Property Beginners

Keep in mind the long-term goal, the benefits of achieving it, and get started.

If your goal is to reach the passive income of rental properties, a REIT won’t help you learn. Buying a fraction of someone else’s deal isn’t likely to help you learn. You have to go out there and do it yourself. Of course, have your Investment Accountant take a look at your accounts first to ensure you can actually afford to go it alone but your accountant will be able to provide you with the best advice.

I like turnkey rentals as a way to keep it simple when starting out. I’m just a beginner and started there. Later on I can level up if I want by learning more and taking on more responsibility.

I like properties that are $90-100k so they only require an investment of roughly $22k and are likely to have stable tenants.

I like purchasing through large-scale companies with a decade long reputation to maintain as a way to protect my downside.

That’s how I’ve made it past the hardest part – buying rental property #1.

There are a million ways to be a real estate investor, but if you aren’t getting started, maybe it is time to reevaluate your approach.

What is holding you back?

Filed Under: Mindset

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