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Actual Results

3 Rental Properties in 6 months Added $24,092 in Net Worth

December 26, 2019

Don’t believe everything you come across on the internet. Just this.

I spent zero time working on my rental properties the last half year. They are thousands of miles away and I have properties managers who collect the checks. Pretty darn passive even if there is a phone call every once in a while.

And in just the last six months my 3 property portfolio added another $24k! If it is hard to believe, I suggest you take a closer look, don’t just dismiss it.

A Quick Look Back

I am the proud owner of 3 properties I have never seen that are located thousands of miles away.

Here is how it went down:

  • July 2011 – Bought Atlanta area property for $20k investment
  • July 2014 – Bought Memphis area property for $24k investment
  • May 2017 – Cash out refinance on Atlanta property to pocket $36k (why and details)
  • September 2017 – Bought Memphis area property for $26k investment (search and details)

I think of my portfolio as a snowball gaining 30% more mass each year – yes, I am getting a 30% a year return. My role is to keep it moving with as little as work as possible. I’m pretty hands-off.

Added together, my property managers now collect $3245 in rent each month. My mortgage payments total $1918. With ~10% to the property manager, I’m clearing $1000 a month in cash flow if all goes well!

Let’s look at each individual property, then do a bit of analysis.

Rental #1 Numbers – Atlanta

This is the original money maker. Perhaps it was just lucky timing, but sure makes me wonder if I had more savings back then how many I would have purchased.

The online estimates I feel ran up a little too high. So I took the pessimistic view that it is only worth 95% what it says on websites like Zillow. Otherwise the return would be even greater!

And remember, this one I got my original investment out plus some already during my refi. Queso en el banco.

Rental #2 Numbers – Memphis

This is the prove it property. It proved to me the first one wasn’t just luck. It is in a less exciting city at not as perfect market timing. And it still works great!

Compared to rental #1, much more of the return here is from cashflow. It has returned $16.3k in 5.5 years vs. $19.2k in 8.5 years for #1. It showcases the multifaceted returns with rental properties.

Still plugging away at a 22.3% compounded annual growth rate. I’ll take it.

Rental #3 Numbers – Memphis

The little baby is growing up so fast. I have a theory that the first 2 years of owning a rental property you really don’t know how well it is doing. So sit back and don’t evaluate things for a while.

Well this one I also took a 95% estimate of Zillow et al. because it ran up too fast to be believable. Even with my hedge, it has still gained $21.7k in appreciation this year!

And it is also a continuation of the cashflow theme – $11.8k in just 2.5 years, even more extreme that the other Memphis rental.

Overall Portfolio Numbers

Twice a year I do this analysis. Twice a year I warn you that these results are better than projected. A 32.5% yearly rate of return! That is absurd.

I honestly think things might settle down closer to 25% a year given a full market cycle. I highly suggest you run a quick calculation – how does a 25% yearly return compare to your other investments? Where will you be in a decade or two?

The people who want to waive it off will say “well you have to risk adjust those returns, if you get that great of a return it must be because the risk is greater”. Don’t be that person. Take the time to explore it.

You’ll find these deals involve a little work which keeps big investors from snatching them all up. You’ll find that the financing over 30 years that is possible in the United States is really why these returns are possible for the every day person with just tens to a few hundred thousand dollars.

And hopefully you’ll find that it is worth the tiny hassle of learning, purchasing, and supporting a small portfolio of properties. You can do it. It isn’t that hard and may just pay you a million dollars over the course of 20 years.

What kind of minor inconvenience would you put up with for a million dollars?

Here are the complete numbers. I also ran a quick calculation – if the next 6 months I made zero cashflow and each property dropped 20% in value, my overall return would be down to a still impressive 24.2%. Not a bad worst case scenario.

Filed Under: Actual Results

Did 3 Rental Properties Really Just Generate $34,295 in 6 Months?

July 9, 2019

Wowza, that is a big number!

My favorite thing about doing these updates? I put up with a few minor annoyances for 6 months, then find out my reward. And it is massive.

Isn’t saving and investing about delayed gratification anyway? Whenever you hear someone dismiss real estate investing offhand, ask them how much money they’d have to earn to put up with the slight annoyances.

A Quick Look Back

I am the proud owner of 3 properties I have never seen that are located thousands of miles away.

Here is how it went down:

  • July 2011 – Bought Atlanta area property for $20k investment
  • July 2014 – Bought Memphis area property for $24k investment
  • May 2017 – Cash out refinance on Atlanta property to pocket $36k (why and details)
  • September 2017 – Bought Memphis area property for $26k investment (search and details)

I think of my portfolio as a snowball gaining 30% more mass each year – yes, I am getting a 30% a year return. My role is to keep it moving with as little as work as possible. I’m pretty hands-off.

Added together, my property managers now collect $3245 in rent each month. My mortgage payments total $1918. With ~10% to the property manager, I’m clearing $1000 a month in cash flow if all goes well!

Let’s look at each individual property, then do a bit of analysis.

Rental #1 Numbers – Atlanta

The OG. Hard to believe it was 8 years ago I purchased my first rental property, way back when I was 25 years old. What is harder to believe – that I was so young or that it is still the same tenant all this time?

There were a couple of repairs so far in 2019. First the insurance company drove by and told me I needed to fix the loose shingles and siding. I had come across a company that offers a high quality roof repair in Gainesville, but obviously, I had to find a service that was a little closer. That was a couple hundred bucks.

Then the water heater needed to be replaced. To be honest, I’m surprised that the heating system didn’t need inspecting at the same time, as the tenants had hinted at some problems with it. But I can always look at something like this page from a laguna niguel plumber and heater experts if anything goes wrong in the near future, as I’ve heard through the grapevine that they’re meant to be pretty efficient. For now though, I just had the water heater to worry about. By Googling the brand they wanted to install, I was able to pretty easily negotiate $200 off the price. But it still was around $1k total with another plumbing issue they fixed. Ouch. Luckily, I found a few Brisbane local plumbers and they were able to sort the issue quickly and efficiently. It was much less stressful than it could’ve been!

That hurt the cashflow, which already was compressed after my refinance in 2017 (and below market rent). But still a positive number for the first half of 2019. And once again the appreciation was massive – up another $9.4k in only 6 months!

Rental #2 Numbers – Memphis

This one is going well. There were a couple minor repairs, but that is fine since the tenant is entering her 3rd year. I’d rather keep the same person than go through the expensive turnover process.

Out of my 3 properties, this one is the most balanced in terms of return from cash flow and appreciation. In 3 fewer years, it has nearly as much cash return as the Atlanta property!

The Atlanta property has 3x the equity return, however this property still has a very nice 21.4% compounded annual growth rate. So even if you don’t luck into appreciation or wonderful market timing, you can still make a killing on boring old properties in boring old cities.

Rental #3 Numbers – Memphis

Still the original tenant for 1.75 years, which means the cash flow is going very well.

But what really helped the numbers are Zillow and Trulia adjustments. They seemed way low just 6 months ago, now they are finally above the purchase price.

The result is a positive return on investment for the first time for this property. A 14% compounded annual growth rate isn’t exactly exciting, but I expect that number to keep rising as we get further from the closing costs.

I think that might be pretty typical when purchasing a rehabbed property. The first couple years it appears to be a meh investment, but looking back 8 or 10 years looks incredible.

Overall Portfolio Numbers

32.1% yearly rate of return! In just the last 6 months the portfolio earnings (net present value) jumped up $34,295!

Here is the complete breakdown:

What About Risk Adjusted Returns?

I don’t love doing this review because I think it paints the wrong picture. It is easy to dismiss these results as lucky timing or risky.

And there is some validity there – without great timing these numbers wouldn’t look nearly as good. I expect somewhere between a 20-25% yearly rate of return through a whole up and down market cycle.

But the point I want to drive home is that these rentals are not risky. Holding any property for multiple decades reduces a lot of the risk, when the returns are largely just inflation. This is a play on leverage paid by someone else (the tenant). But to make that leverage low-risk, the asset needs to have tangible value (not greater fool value). Each of these rentals is below the cost of construction in areas with a jobs.

These returns are incredible because the risk is so low. Speculating in Miami, Brooklyn, or SF would have had much greater returns over this period, but with a completely different risk profile. Don’t group these cheap rentals in a city like Memphis in the same “risky real estate” category.

You could even argue these properties have more tangible value than the stock market everyone loves, making it is less risky.

But I want to hear from you – how do you evaluate the risk of rental properties compared to the stock market?

Here are the complete numbers

Filed Under: Actual Results

$5,162 in Passive Income – Rental Property Portfolio Update

July 1, 2018

It’s been a while, have you missed me?

The thing I love about investing in rental properties is the passive income. I’ve been sitting back making money.

In the time since my last article, I make $5,162 in passive income and an additional $9k in net worth (equity value).

Of course, there are quite a few other options like renting out properties to tenant. There may be homeowners who do this on their own property as well, as accessory dwelling units (https://www.uniteddwelling.com/backyard-homes) are seemingly becoming more popular as a rental option that allows some form of passive income without having to think about investing in different properties. Anyway, my idea was a little different.

Let’s take a closer look at how I got there!

Purchased Turnkey Rental Properties

I am the proud owner of 3 properties I have never seen that are located thousands of miles away. And I wish to buy a few more. However, this time around, I would like to invest in Awbrey Glen, Bend, Oregon. I have heard that people often want to visit this location for its exemplary beauty. So, I think that investing in properties here with the help of Bernard Group (https://bernardrealestategroup.com/awbrey-butte-bend-or/awbrey-glen/) could be a wise decision. Anyway, I have always been attracted by the idea of buying properties. So, I will continue doing that!

Honestly, this is all possible by the magic of capitalism. Small businesses exist to flip rental properties to investors and other businesses to handle the ongoing management. For a reasonable fee, they do most the work for me!

Here is the timeline:

  • July 2011 – Bought Atlanta area property for $20k investment
  • July 2014 – Bought Memphis area property for $24k investment
  • May 2017 – Cash out refinance on Atlanta property to pocket $36k (why and details)
  • September 2017 – Bought Memphis area property for $26k investment (search and details)

I think of my portfolio as a snowball gaining 30% more mass each year – yes, I am getting a 30% a year return. My role is to keep it moving with as little as work as possible. I’m pretty hands-off.

Added together, my property managers now collect $3185 in rent each month. My mortgage payments total $1918. With ~10% to the property manager, I’m clearing $950 a month in cash flow if all goes well!

Let’s drill down and look at each individual property.

Rental #1 Numbers – Atlanta

The appreciation just keeps on rolling on this one. It ran up in value so much that last year I refinanced to put the equity to use by purchasing property #3.

Over the last 6 months it has appreciated another $4k!

The cashflow is going just ok. The tenant has been in the property for over 7 years now, and has fallen behind on rent again. Once the next payment comes in, the cashflow numbers will look much better.

I’ve had several short phone calls with the property manager over the last 6 months about the late payments. The current plan is to file for eviction to really grab the attention of the tenant, and to get a payment plan down in writing. I’m not concerned because we have been through this already with the tenant and know they want to stay in the home, but also want to protect against the worst case!

The overall numbers continue to be very strong – it has a compounded rate of return of 23.5%!

Taken individually, that is great. But since I was able to reinvest the returns into more properties, the portfolio’s return is even better.

Rental #2 Numbers – Memphis

My Memphis properties lean a little bit more towards cash flow over appreciation. But actually both are going well!

Over the last 6 months the $1875 in cash flow, thanks to only one ~$200 maintenance call. The tenant signed a new 2 year lease as well, which came with $150 off for doing so (but made back through rent increases each year).

It is appreciating nicely too. Nothing insane, but going at a 4% a year clip right now. Through the ups and downs that might average out to closer to 2%, but leveraged 5x that’s still pretty solid!

Look at that – 4 years at 20.5% a year! And climbing, 6 months ago it was 20% a year.

Rental #3 Numbers – Memphis

This is the latest addition, and it is closing in on the 1 year mark.

The tenant is in place and starting to generate some solid cash flow. The value is now above the purchase price by a little bit.

There were a few hundred dollars of maintenance expenses, and the property manager got the record keeping messed up a bit, so we had some back and forth. But overall pretty smooth and very little time spent.

Still a negative overall return, as I dig out of the hole of the closing costs. This is to be expected though, my rental properties are a long-term play.

Before we go on to looking at the overall portfolio value, let me explain one new change this year.

Tax Benefit Changes

When it is your own personal portfolio, you get to do the accounting however you want. What you report to the IRS is standardized, I’m talking about your own scoreboard.

I pretty much just made mine up. I have a couple friends who are accountants who will likely cringe at some of these details.

They set their practices on doing things the right way and if someone does anything out of the ordinary, it is likely to send them into a spin.

I can see why they think this though. This isn’t a joke to them; it’s their career and what they have worked so hard for. They are always on the lookout for more clients and to grow their firm, hence why so many of them are starting to look at how financial seminar marketing (find out here for information) can drive them forward and put them in good stead when it comes to making a name for themselves in the industry.

So when I put it like that, it actually makes sense when they cringe at some of the methods that I try – probably because that’s not how they would do it.

First, I decided to use a 2% discount rate every half year. Monthly record keeping is overkill. Every year would be fine, but I like to check in on things more often than that. So I arrived at this non-standard measure.

Then I decided to include tax benefits as part of my cash return number.

The return is broken into two categories: cash and equity. Cash is the benefit I get now from tenants paying the rent. Equity is the return on paper from appreciation and paying down the mortgage.

There are additional benefits of rental properties that don’t neatly fit into those categories. One is the tax benefit from the fake expense of depreciation. On my taxes for each of the properties, I get to say I had a ~$3k expense that I didn’t actually pay. Pretty cool! What’s that worth?

That depends upon what I pay in income taxes.

Under the new tax plan, my marginal tax rate fell from 28% to 24%. So the benefit I get from not paying income tax on ~$3k per property fell a little bit as well.

Note: If you end up selling the property, you have to pay back the benefit from depreciation. This covers it well. There are ways around it though, like a 1031 exchange or eventually passing on to heirs. At worst it is an interest free loan, but since I don’t plan on ever paying it, I include it as a full benefit.

Overall Portfolio Numbers

Drumroll please…

My rental property portfolio is worth $110,020!

Here is the complete breakdown of the cash flows. Not shown are the discount calculations or the $10k cash remaining from the refinance.

Basically I’m crushing it still. The overall rate of return went up from 6 months ago and is back over 30%. It briefly dipped below with all the closing costs of acquiring a new property.

In fact, it would be up even more if I used the numbers on Zillow today – I actually pulled the numbers a couple weeks ago.

The Bottom Line

Ultimately whatever Zillow says doesn’t really matter though.

You can’t get too excited about the exaggerated highs, as there will be lows someday too. You are never as good as they say you are or as bad.

And for anyone who is thinking “everyone’s a genius in a bull market”, my return would be a whole lot more impressive if gambling in high price markets like San Francisco. This whole cash flow rental property approach is based on riding out the inevitable swings in the market. That being said, if you’re planning to buy or sell a property, the requirements and all these cash flow approach might change. You might even require the assistance of a conveyancing solicitor from www.myconveyancingspecialist.com or other similar sites to help you out with the legalities involved.

I’m confident this approach works well over decades – therefore, who really cares what Zillow says. It sounds like I’m making excuses for bad results, not someone who is earning 30% a year!

What do you think? Think you can do it too?

If you want to dig into the complete calculations, click here

Filed Under: Actual Results, Numbers

I’m Now a Hundred Thousandaire! – Rental Property Portfolio Update

January 15, 2018

Hundred Thousandaire - Portfolio Update

$101k to be exact. Badda bing, badda boom.

My three rental properties are currently worth $101,091. Even more impressive, since I started on this passive cashflow real estate journey six and a half years ago, I have earned $73,368.

But we’ll get into the numbers in just a second, I feel a silly interlude coming…

Worth My Weight in Gold

I’m feeling pretty solid about the growth of this small portfolio, but what will it take to be worth my weight in gold?

duck tales gold

Luckily the fine folks of the internet built a calculator for just that. I know nothing about gold prices and troy ounce conversions, so let’s take their word for it.

190 pounds equals $3.7 million in gold. I have a long way to go.

My portfolio is currently worth 5.2 pounds of gold though. So maybe it would be easier to go on an extreme diet?

diet blog

Now Back to the Regularly Scheduled Show

2017 was a good year. I made some big changes to the portfolio, setting up for even more success down the line. Let me quickly get you caught up to speed on my major actions:

  • July 2011 – Bought Atlanta area property for $20k investment
  • July 2014 – Bought Memphis area property for $24k investment
  • May 2017 – Cash out refinance on Atlanta property to pocket $36k (why and details)
  • September 2017 – Bought Memphis area property for $26k investment (search and details)

I think of my portfolio as a snowball gaining 30% more mass each year – yes, I am getting a 30% a year return. My role is to keep it moving with as little as work as possible. I’m pretty hands-off.

My first rental property appreciated in price over the years while the tenant paid down the mortgage. It had a lot of equity. Equity is wonderful, but it is like a bank account that doesn’t pay any interest. So in 2017 I put that money to work.

Added together, my property managers now collect $3120 in rent each month. My mortgage payments total $1918. If about ~10% goes to the property manager, I’m clearing $900 a month in cash flow if all goes well!

Let’s drill down and look at each individual property.

Rental #1 Numbers – Atlanta

The estimated value is conservative. It appraised for $130k back in May when I did the refinance. I would be justified assuming that was the price, but I used $128.6k which is the average of Zillow, Redfin, and Trulia. Not that they are more accurate than an actual appraisal, I just don’t feel the need to pick a larger number to inflate my sense of self worth.

Notice the cash flow here sucks. A measly $267 in 2017? I spent more than that on avocado an toast.

The same tenant has been in the property all six and a half years I have owned it! That does amazing things for cash flow overall, because I don’t have to turn over the property with a million little repairs and touch ups, nor have the 1-2 months of lost rent.

Yet this tenant is often behind on rent. They didn’t pay for December by the end of 2017, so are behind again. Hopefully a tax refund gets them caught up again.

The other big thing affecting the cash flow on this property was the refinance. Mortgage payments went up from $616 to $760. But it also allowed me to purchase a third rental, which offsets the lost cash flow on this property. And gets more equity snowballs rolling!

Beyond the cash flow, this property has crushed it over six and a half years:

rental 1 overall

I initially invested $20k and it has made me $61k. Wowzers bowzers!

Rental #2 Numbers – Memphis

rental 2 numbers

This one had a much better year on the cashflow. $3083 plus another $1043 in tax benefits.

This isn’t exactly the time to discuss the tax benefits, but basically thousands of dollars are tax free thanks to a fake expense called depreciation. If it is tax free, the equivalent income in taxed dollars is even greater.

The appreciation here is more modest as Memphis isn’t going to have as large of swings as Atlanta. It has been appreciating at 4.5% a year though over the three and a half years.

However this has been a large national upswing. If things go south nationally, Memphis will hold fairly steady compared to other markets, but not hit 4.5% those years. Let’s call it an expected 3% a year for appreciation.

Considering it is leveraged five to one, you still make a killing with modest appreciation at the rate of inflation. That’s a 15% a year return right there!

rental 2 overall

Doing great, a 20% compounded annual growth rate on this sucker!

Rental #3 Numbers – Memphis

rental 3 numbers

This one is just a few months in. There were only 2 mortgage payments and 3 months of rent, so the cash flow as positive even though there were some additional tenant placement expenses.

When we look at the overall picture, it doesn’t start out pretty. You have to pay closing costs and fund your escrow for future taxes and insurance payments.

My overall return is negative $3.3k. I have to overcome the expense of closing costs before it becomes positive.

That’s ok, it is another snowball rolling and gaining mass!

Overall Portfolio Numbers

Those numbers don’t tell the whole story though. It is more accurate to do a cash flow analysis.

When you have an asset that spits off cash in addition to going up in value, it matters when you get that cash. $1k received six years ago is more valuable than $1k received today. I can invest it and make extra money over that time. That’s what a cash flow analysis accounts for.

cashflow analysis h12018

If you know when you received the money and how much value you put on receiving the money earlier (I used 2% every half year), you can calculate the total earnings of the portfolio.

rental portfolio return

29.9% a year return! That is pretty darn solid.

And I still have $10.2k left over from the refinance that isn’t invested yet, that I hope to put to work in 2018.

Long time readers will note that the portfolio return a year ago was 30.7%. It dipped despite a good year in the market due to the refi and adding the third property.

Ya gots to spend money to make money – the dip was largely due to closing costs on the loans. But it allowed me to put lazy money (equity) to work, which will set up for greater returns in the future. If you are apprehensive about closing costs, you can find the relevant information on websites such as https://houstonrealestateobserver.com/ as well as others, so you can see what is ahead of you and how you can better navigate your way through with your money.

“Ya But I’ve Been Crushing it In the Stock Market with Less Work”

You wouldn’t be wrong to think that initially. After all, the S&P 500 went from $1292 in July 2011 to $2673 by January 2018. It more than doubled!

Actually sit down and run the numbers – what is the compounded growth rate?

> … 11.8%, pretty darn good. “That doesn’t account for dividends though” says the astute reader.

Ok I used this calculator for the Russell 3000 (a more broad index fund) and it spit out a 13.53% yearly return.

seinfeld shame

Jerry is not impressed. That killer run the stock market has been on doesn’t hold a candle to the returns of these cashflow rental properties.

We are talking 13.5% to 30%. That is massive. And not just “oh it’s 16.5% different” – it is exponentially different.

Over 20 years $100k invested:

Sorry for crushing your positive feelings about this great stock market run. You lose.

Get Going!

The sooner you get your own snowball rolling the better.

I’m not going to pretend my approach will scale well to millions of dollars invested, but I know if you are generating your first $100k (and probably million), you can’t beat these low-cost cashflow rental properties when everything is considered (including risk and time invested).

It all comes back to the cheap leverage available and the margin of safety provided by the tenant’s rent well above expenses.

What are you waiting for? Think you can do it?

If you want to see the spreadsheet with all the calculations and numbers, click here.

Photo: aisletwentytwo, Artist: Alec

Filed Under: Actual Results, Numbers

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